November 28, 2008

Texas Magazine - introductory post

I mentioned this a couple of days ago - beginning December 1, I will be blogging at Texas Magazine as well as here at Blue Dot Blues.  I've posted my introduction - please take a moment to check it out:  http://www.mytexasmag.com/blog/news/politics/drawing-line-new-politics-blog-texas-magazine-mj-samuelson


By the way, a Texas Magazine subscription would be a great Christmas gift for the Texas-loving guy or gal in your life.  Just sayin'.  :-)

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November 26, 2008

BREAKING: Terrorist Attack in India

This just showed up on the RedState Twitter:

Terrorists Target Mumbai Hotels

Unknown terrorists have conducted a coordinated attack across Mumbai's
major tourist hubs, with over a dozen deaths and many injuries reported.

Gunmen have targeted luxury hotels, a popular tourist attraction and a
crowded train station in at least seven attacks across India's financial
capital.

Terrorists are reportedly still holed up at in three places, including
Oberoi and Taj hotels.

The British Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) are advising all
Britons in Mumbai to stay indoors.

The FCO also report a further explosion near Mumbai airport.

The death toll is unknown. Officials have said at least 25 people have
been wounded.

Reuters are reporting at least 18 fatalities.

The Times of India are reporting as many as 80 people killed and 250
injured in the attacks.



CNN: Gunmen attack targets in Indian city
FNC: 25 Feared Dead in Mumbai Terror Attack
Reuters: Multiple attacks in Mumbai

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November 25, 2008

Just how big is the bailout now?

Barry Ritholtz gives us an idea of the big picture here.


Total to date, including the Citi bailout, is $4.6165 trillion.  

Numbers from Bianco Research:

• Marshall Plan: Cost: $12.7 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $115.3 billion
• 
Louisiana Purchase: Cost: $15 million, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $217 billion
• 
Race to the Moon: Cost: $36.4 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $237 billion
• 
S&L Crisis: Cost: $153 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $256 billion
• 
Korean War: Cost: $54 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $454 billion
• 
The New Deal: Cost: $32 billion (Est), Inflation Adjusted Cost: $500 billion (Est)
• 
Invasion of Iraq: Cost: $551b, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $597 billion
• 
Vietnam War: Cost: $111 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $698 billion
• 
NASA: Cost: $416.7 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $851.2 billion

TOTAL: $3.92 trillion

I don't know about you, but I find this whole thing rather nauseating.

H/T Mark Hemingway.



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Ho-hum: TAMU prof steps down as YCT advisor

This story hit the AP wire and spread across the web and blogosphere over the last few days, but I haven't bothered blogging about it until now because it's just so....ho-hum.

Why blog now? Simply to expose the idiocy behind this latest malady to befall the Young Conservatives of Texas at Texas A&M. The professor in question, John Fike, quit after the group released put fliers up on campus condemning members of the Texas A&M faculty for signing a petition supporting domestic terrorist William Ayers.

Seriously?

Clearly Fike missed the point of the organization he was advising, and has no clear idea of what it means to stand up to liberal establishment - Ayers is indicative of everything conservatives, and most Americans really, are against. For YCT to ignore the fact that several professors were publicly supporting Ayers would have been ludicrous. Fike's decision to step down after this doesn't reveal anything about YCT - it indicates that Fike, who claims to stand for academic freedom and the need for a variety of viewpoints to be represented on campus, really stands for neither.

Now, I could go into a long rant about why it's ludicrous for student organizations to be required to have faculty advisors in order to function, the current TAMU policy, but that's for another day. For now, I'd really like to know - why is Fike's resignation news at all? Why is it in the Houston Chronicle and all over the blogosphere? Why not bring up the Ayers petition and why not talk about why it's important that his supporters be exposed for their allegiance to an avowed terrorist? Fike isn't news, but his fellow professors who signed the petition sure are.

But that's not the way the media wants the story to go, so instead we get stories about the horrible, awful, terrible things the YCT-TAMU chapter does (sarcasm intended). Ain't it grand?

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Little kids denied Thanksgiving fun by one deranged parent

I've heard a lot of crackpot things from the PC Police, but this hits a new low.

Parents clash over Thanksgiving tradition at two California elementary schools.

This was discussed this morning on the Mark, Ed, Sgt. Sam show on KLBJ, and it had me scratching my head during my commute (I must have looked funny to other drivers). One parent, who happens to be an English professor (figures), complained about the Pilgrims and Indians Native Americans costumes local kindergarteners, including hers, would be dressing up in for their 40-year Thanksgiving tradition. The result was, of course, that the schools cancelled the celebration despite the many 5-year-old participants who were already preparing for it.

The parent in question thinks the whole thing is perpetuating "racist stereotypes." She's part Seneca and is offended by the theme.

(I just have to put this out there - I'm 3/4 Irish, and you don't see me getting my panties in a twist over green beer and St. Patrick's Day shenanigans)

Of all the things to get upset about in this world, this mother in California had to go and pick on what is probably the most innocuous thing these children will ever participate in. And I have to wonder if she takes her objections all the way - are her kids not allowed to be Washington Redskins fans? Do the "chop" at Atlanta Braves games? Watch old Western films featuring good ol' cowboys-and-Indians fights?

Does she even bother to know or explain to her children the history behind the first Thanksgiving, which was in no way a part of the later strife and devastation between Anglo whites and Native Americans?

I think Thanksgiving is a great time to explain and demonstrate the harmony that should exist between our cultures. That despite our differences, we can all bring something worthwhile to the table to share with everyone else. The kids' costumes and traditions at Condit and Mountain View Elementary Schools in Claremont, California demonstrate in a visceral way what it means to share, despite differences.

This mother who complained really wrecks the entire idea, and clearly needs to understand how reaching 5-year-old minds is a completely different task than reaching university students' minds. She is failing to comprehend the meaning behind Thanksgiving - that we might repair the damage of the past and celebrate our cultures while creating a better future for us all.

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November 24, 2008

Broadening horizons: Texas Magazine

Beginning December 1, I will be expanding my horizons a bit as a political blogger for Texas Magazine, in addition to what I do here at Blue Dot Blues.

I hope you'll take the time to check out the magazine, which is a great alternative to the blatantly liberal Texas Monthly. And as soon as the blog goes live, I hope you'll come read me over there, too!

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November 20, 2008

WaPo to Obama: Punish drivers - with higher taxes

It's not like we didn't already know the Washington Post is run by echo-chamber liberal elitists who, judging by this editorial, all ride bicycles to work and eat tofu for lunch. But it seems they've chosen this time to come out of their oxygen-deprived corner offices with views and just admit that yeah, they're liberal and not only that, they want to impose those beliefs on the masses. It must be the euphoria from Obama's election that made them lose their senses temporarily - but clearly, they've got it in for the "gas-guzzling" Americans who are more likely to use their newspaper for fish wrap than a Guide to Good Government.

The suggestion from the WaPo editorial board to President-elect Obama is to do the following:

In a perfect world, we'd like to see a gas tax that was the equivalent of oil at
$100 per barrel. This would send a loud-and-clear signal to drivers to continue
eschewing gas guzzlers for fuel sippers and mass transit. Automakers would get
the message to speed up production of motor vehicles that meet or exceed the 35
miles per gallon by 2020 mandated by Congress last year. Instead of the money
going to countries that have U.S. interests at heart in the same way a dealer
cares about a junkie, the revenue would stay here -- and it could all be
returned to the American people in the form of tax rebates.


My liberal elitist dialect is rusty, but I'm pretty sure that translates to "tax them to death no matter how low prices go, and that'll teach 'em." The bit about tax rebates in the end is supposed to cushion the blow, of course.

Taxes used as a punishment to discourage the free market from working on its own. Kind of ingenious - or perhaps not, as this refrain sounds eeriely similar to that made by the British Parliament about 250 years ago. Except then, it was about imposing it regardless of representation, and now we at least have the ability not only to stop such a thing from happening, but also to throw the bums who try these shenanigans out on their bums.

The WaPo editors are delusional. All the more reason to be anxious for the day when the helium bubble produced after 11/4 finally pops, and we can all get back down to earth and to work on real solutions.

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"Ihre Papiere, bitte." (Your papers, please)

Drivers' license checkpoints and required blood tests in suspected DWI - that's legislation coming from the likes of Senator Bob Deuell, Senator John Carona, State Rep. Todd Smith, and State Rep. Jimmie Don Aycock.

Now, conservatives in the blogosphere have been real watchful since November 4. We fully expect a kind of police state to develop under our new President, so we've been talking about the Fairness Doctrine, the proposed civilian ground force, the Freedom of Choice Act, etc. Apparently we didn't need to go so far, since Republicans at the state level were already planning to enact a police state of their own, at least in Texas.

But, MJ, you say, isn't "police state" a harsh term?

Possibly. I'm sure my libertarian friends would make an argument about how we're already there. I disagree with them, but if the checkpoint or blood test bills pass the legislature and make it into law, I'll be much more inclined to agree with them.

I heard about the blood test bill on KLBJ's Mark/Ed/Sgt. Sam show this morning, and it really gets under my skin to hear Sgt. Sam defend this kind of thing and then listen to Ed blow him off as a "conservative." Because there is nothing conservative about wanting to grow government's reach, even if it is through the supposedly benign functions of law enforcement.

We have to consider the long-term ramifications of such laws sitting on the books, what kind of nefarious purpose they could be used for. Right now it's blood tests without a warrant (oh, I can hear the 4th Amendment supporters turning over in their graves now) for suspected DWI. This is a person's body being used; how long before that becomes private property? The assumption of guilt is as anti-American as you can get, and I think it's worth invoking the "Founders" here and saying that searches without warrants was part of what sparked our Revolution. And I don't think the ideas are outdated (no real conservative would); on the contrary, I believe those ideas have never been more relevant.

For reference: SB 298 (Carona) and HB 169 (Smith) are the checkpoint bills; SB 261 (Deuell) and HB 170 (Aycock) are the blood test bills.

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November 19, 2008

Yes, it IS my money

See, this is the problem with the majority of the Republican establishment as we know it.

Cong. Joe Knollenberg, a Republican from Michigan, lost his re-election bid (thank goodness). Now he's telling Neil Cavuto, and by extension taxpaying Americans everywhere, that the money Congress could use to bailout the auto industry isn't really theirs, anyway.

My dear Congressman, I must digress. It is in fact our money. It's yours, your children's, your neighbor's, your postal worker's, your grocery clerk's, your librarian's, the teachers in schools, your pastor's. It belongs to the guy in the Toyota Corolla next to you on the freeway. It belongs to the working mother of three who only sees her working husband for an hour or so in the evening before bed.

Now, I will say, given the growing percentage of Americans whose tax money is actually returned every year because they make under a certain amount, the tax money spent by Congress is actually coming from fewer and fewer people. But that doesn't change the premise of my argument. It's just a reminder that in the United States, we are becoming a country where the few pay for the folly of the many.

It IS my money, Congressman Knollenberg. As a professed Republican, you should understand this. But clearly your constituents realized it before the rest of us, that you're just another Beltway-poisoned elected official who needed to go home.

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Ridiculous salaries for public employees

The Dallas Morning News today has a great piece on how much college presidents in Texas make. Tuition at public universities in Texas has climbed more than 53% since deregulation in 2003, and while the universities are screaming for more money and are in need of more professors, facilities, and updated equipment, university administrators are raking in top dollar, making more than even the President and Vice President of the United States make in many cases.

They also bring up coaches' salaries, which is fair, though one could make an argument that football (and sports in general) are the only things that actually make universities competitive in a free market sense, and that the salaries are justified because of actual return revenue. That being said, Mack Brown is currently the highest paid state employee in Texas.

It should bother you that the UT system president makes more than the governor of the state of Texas. It should bother you that it is your tax dollars paying him, and that you can't hold him accountable by election. It should bother you that the value of a bachelors' degree is lessened every day, but that these university presidents continue to bring home huge paychecks just because they "raised the profile" of the university. About 90% of the people who get these salaries are not in any way accountable to you. They cannot be voted out of office, impeached, or held to account by anyone other than the select few who choose to hire them - but it is YOUR money used to pay them.

I will refrain from critiquing the Ohio State University president's $1.8 million salary package - I am not a resident of Ohio and don't pay taxes there. It's definitely exorbitant and it made me choke on my glass of water, but it's up to the taxpayers in Ohio to determine whether that's appropriate or not.

It needs to be said, because it is not clear in the DMN article, that SMU and other private schools can't fall under this same kind of critique, primarily because their primary source of funding is not tax money. State universities, however, are state agencies. They are accountable to the state regardless of what tuition deregulation did; they can fall under sunset review and they do receive a substantial portion of their funding from tax dollars. If this legislative session goes the way it looks like it might, tuition prices at public universities will be regulated by the state once again - and university trustees will need to think twice before giving a university president a $98,000 bonus just because they feel like they "got a bargain" when the president was hired (ala my grand alma mater, the University of North Texas).

The article quotes the UNT student body president, Jeff Kline, as "having no problem" with UNT president Gretchen Bataille's salary and compensation (clearly Jeff wasn't at UNT before tuition dereg - had he experienced the more than 50% hike in tuition over the last five years, he'd probably be a bit more incensed). This is a useless piece of information, since as student body president, Kline receives compensation of his own and his role is very much to be an apologist for the administration (despite appearances, few student body presidents, once elected, buck the system or speak strictly for the students). It would have served the article better if another student, not part of the student government, had been asked the same question. It is not in the university's public image interest to have the student body president speak out against anything the regents or trustees do - something I'm sure the savvy journalists at the DMN are aware of.

The DMN article would lead one to believe that no one is critical of university presidents' salaries and compensation, and it's possible they just didn't think to look beyond state legislators who are pressured by university lobbyists or university employees like the student body presidents. But that would mean the DMN was either purposefully ignorant in their reporting on this topic, or they have an agenda. And no one would believe either of those charges about big media, would they?

Would they???

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November 18, 2008

Solomons joins the speaker's race

Rep. Burt Solomons (R-Carrollton) filed for Texas House speaker today, according to the Statesman. He says he "doubts" the Republicans have 85 votes at this point, and that he hopes to put together a majority before Jan. 13.

I would like to point out for anyone who hasn't been playing along at home that Solomons is the first conservative whose name isn't Tom to file in this race.

Also, that brings us to 10 candidates. We only need 140 more for TOTAL chaos!

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November 12, 2008

The I-have-too-much-to-blog-about post

Let's see.  Where should I start?  Bill filing started in the Texas Legislature this week, and there are some great bills and some real stinkers.  Mark Davis on WBAP in Dallas had a great Kay Bailey Hutchison vs Rick Perry segment this morning that bears discussion and thought.  We've got an interesting choice coming up for RNC chairman, and Michael Steele and Newt Gingrich are leading the race.  The conservative movement is all a-flutter over rebranding and where should the change start and should there be change, etc.


So.  Bullet point it is.

  • Worst bill of early filing so far is Rep. Mark Strama's HB 105, the "Campaign Fairness Act," which creates contributions limits for executive and legislative offices.  
  • 2nd worst bill of early filing so far is Rep. Fred Brown's HB 100, which would change (lower) the legislative requirement of history and civics courses in our state universities.
  • My favorite piece of legislation to date is Sen. Juan "Chuy" Hinojosa's tuition limitation bill, SB 105, which puts a moratorium on tuition increases at state universities for two years, and then only allows tuition hikes to happen at the rate of inflation each year after that.  It also requires a majority vote of the student body to increase any fee.  Six Republicans are backing this, including Senators Tommy Williams, Dan Patrick, and Jane Nelson.  Bully for them, and bully for Sen. Hinojosa!
  • Rick Perry vs. Kay Bailey Hutchison.  It's generally assumed that these two will be battling it out for the Republican nomination for governor in 2010.  Mark Davis brought up the salient point - if we're trying to get back to our conservative roots, neither Perry nor Hutchison really help us there.  I'll have more on this later.
  • Michael Steele vs. Newt Gingrich.  I'm leaning toward Newt (have you seen American Solutions?), though I like both.  Sean Hannity has endorsed Michael Steele.  
  • Conservative movement?  Let's start with the Republican Party.

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November 11, 2008

Veterans' Day

This day is for Dad, the Cold War veteran who tells stories about Russian submarines in the Mediterranean. For Mom, the Vietnam and Cold War veteran, who got to work in the Pentagon.

My Uncle Tim, a Cold War, Desert Storm, Enduring Freedom, and all the conflicts in between veteran; he's still serving today.

For Grandpa Jim, who served in the Navy in WWII, and in the Marines in Korea; make no mistake, he's a Semper Fi kinda guy. For Uncle Pat, a Cold War Marine, who still oo-rahs with the best of them. For Uncle Jim, a Vietnam veteran. For Aunt Edith, a Vietnam vet.

For Grandpa Brice, who stood guarding the wreck of the USS Arizona on December 8, 1941, and who participated in many battles in the Pacific in World War II. He was awarded the Navy Cross, and none of us knew it until he passed away in 1993. He always told my mother that he was just a merchant sailor in the northern Pacific during the war.

For Great-Uncle Pat, who stormed the beach at Normandy.

For my father-in-law Warren, a Vietnam veteran.

For the gentleman who stopped us while we were campaigning two years ago, who invited us in to see his Purple Heart and his Navy Cross, who wanted someone to hear his stories about the Pacific. He was alone, and missed his wife. I hope they find each other.

For the family members whose names I'm still getting to know, who served in World War I, in the Spanish-American War, and in Indian conflicts on the plains.

For the not-so-removed cousin who served in the Massachusetts cavalry during the Civil War, his brother who served in the infantry, and the cousins from the other side of the family who served the Bonnie Blue Flag despite just having come off the boat from Ireland.

For the family members from Massachusetts who fought a war for freedom from England.

For Mark, a Marine who served in Iraq. Mark, "thank you" will never be enough. http://www.sharp-design.us/bandofmothers/poetry_18.html

For Chris, who served in Afghanistan. For Joe, who served two tours in Iraq. For Kevin and for Grant, who were also in Iraq. For James, just back from Iraq and the Navy. For Colby, who served in the Air Force, and Tristen, who was in the Coast Guard. For Jason, who served in the Air Force.

For Josh, Julian, Tom, Robert, Jeremy, Eric, Kevin, Bobby, Colin, John, and all the people I'm forgetting, who served or are serving in the Marine Corps, the Navy, the Army, and the Air Force.

Last but by no means least - for Commander David Connole, who served in the United States Navy during WWII. His submarine, the USS Trigger, was attacked and sunk in April 1945, and later a USN frigate was christened after him. Cmdr. Connole was awarded the Silver Star posthumuously. http://www.destroyersonline.com/usndd/ff1056/

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November 10, 2008

13 Republicans Come Out for Craddick

Leo Berman (R-Tyler), Warren Chisum (R-Pampa), Linda Harper-Brown(R-Irving), Carl Isett (R-Lubbock), Phil King (R-Weatherford), Jodie Laubenberg (R-Parker), Ken Paxton (R-McKinney), Dan Flynn (R-Van), Geanie Morrison (R-Victoria), Bryan Hughes (R-Mineola), Bill Callegari (R-Katy), Larry Taylor (R-Friendswood) and Wayne Christian (R-Center).

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It's over - Republicans over Democrats, 76-74

Provisional vote counting is over in HD 105, and State Rep. Linda Harper-Brown will be returning to the House - by a mere 20 votes.


So it's over.  Republicans have the majority in the Texas House, by the very skin of their teeth.

Now the real work can begin.

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November 07, 2008

The wrong attitude for the minority

Congressman Michael Burgess would be wise to take a cue from his predecessor, Dick Armey, rather than spout such lily-livered tripe as this:

“What we need to do in the minority is to develop policy with the membership and
offer an alternative that is nonthreatening and nonconfrontational,” said
Burgess, citing healthcare as a prime example. He clarified that the minority
may have to be confrontational at times “but it doesn’t have to be 24 hours a
day, seven days a week.” (From the Fort Worth Star-Telegram)


Nonthreatening and nonconfrontational. Sounds more akin to letting yourself be run over than it does to actual policy change. Have Republicans been the majority party too long; have they completely forgotten how to do what they have always done well, being a thorn-in-your-side minority party? Do Burgess and his colleagues need to take lessons from the likes of State Rep. Jim Dunnam?

In an all-Democrat government such as the one we'll have come January 20, Republicans can't afford to simply offer alternatives that liberals will be able to stomach - they'll need to take initiative and boldly stand against the forces of big government. And yes, that's 24-hours-a-day, 7-days-a-week. If you allow yourself to be walked upon, the opposition will trample you.

Burgess was my congressman when I lived in north Texas, so I feel pretty confident in saying that he should know better. With state representation like State Sen. Jane Nelson and State Reps. Burt Solomons and Tan Parker (we have to ignore I-showed-up-and-voted-and-that's-about-all Myra Crownover), you'd think Burgess would know how to stand up and be counted. But apparently, he's much more interested in being "nonconfrontational."

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November 06, 2008

One more Democrat files for speaker

And most everyone is saying, it ain't over yet.


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November 05, 2008

Gallego, Ritter throw hats into the ring; is Gattis next?

Wow...I step away from the computer for just a couple of hours and look at what's been happening!  The Texas Ethics Commission has added a list that will be updated when new candidates file; check that out here.  Eight in the race as of tonight.

They aren't saying anything after today's Democratic Caucus meeting in the Texas House of Representatives, but the buzz is deafening that Democrats will back Rep. Pete Gallego (Alpine) for speaker.  Gallego and Allan Ritter (D-Nederland) filed today, making an already crowded field seem very much like a free-for-all.

Supposed absences from the caucus meeting:  Sylvester Turner, Kino Flores, and Aaron Pena.  All Craddick D's.  Turner is a candidate for the speakership.  Aaron Pena spent a great deal of time blogging on speaker politics during the last session here.  Apparently, 68 of the now 75 House D's were present for the meeting (one wonders, who else was absent?).

Meanwhile, Paul Burka is gossiping (dear Mr. Burka - isn't it ALL gossip at this point?) that Dan Gattis' name is being kicked around.  Gattis would make a great consensus candidate for Republicans - far better than Merritt and more palatable for conservatives than Keffer.  

Of course, the one thing not being answered by anyone today is, What About Tom Craddick?

One thing is very clear:  nothing is certain in the speakers' race at this point.  We're looking at a complicated situation that is changing almost hourly.  

If you'd like to follow what's happening, I suggest keeping Lone Star Report, Quorum Report, Burka Blog, and the Statesman on your daily list.  If not, well, you could always tune in to CNN and listen to what Obama is up to in his cabinet appointments.


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Speaker's race takes no time to heat up

The candidates so far are incumbent speaker Tom Craddick, Republican(-ish) Jim Keffer, and Democrat Sylvester Turner.


Add to that mix the squishiest of all squishy "Republicans," Longview's Tommy Merritt (who announced his candidacy this morning), and you've got yourself a nasty race.

Inside baseball says Craddick's likely done for without a clear conservative majority in the House (we'll see about that - Craddick is one of the best politicians in the state's history [love him or hate him, you have to admit that], and has plenty of clout left).  It's unlikely the Democrats would flock behind one of their own, even Turner, without a decisive majority.  So with a 76-74 Republican House, a moderate Republican looks to be the obvious choice of many on both sides.  

Jim Keffer is far better suited for this than Tommy Merritt, whose definition of "bipartisanship" during his tenure in the House has really meant "run as a Republican, legislate like a Democrat."  Merritt certainly has "reached across the aisle" - to the point of caucusing with Democrats and spilling Republican strategies like he was a kid's talking pull toy with no off button.  Keffer is more truly bipartisan than Merritt, and has made clear that his intent is to return to the seniority way of doing things.  

All in all, conservatives wanting to pass a conservative agenda needed to win more House seats (losing Bill Zedler is a particularly painful loss), and can't rely on Craddick or any other speaker candidate to ensure that agenda isn't dead before January 13.  And Craddick himself is not fully to blame for House losses.  

Going forward, conservatives will need to work with whomever is speaker - but it remains to be seen if the elected speaker will work with conservatives.

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Texas House - Not flipped, but awful close

A mere 25 votes stands between Republicans and a Democrat takeover of the Texas House as Rep. Linda Harper-Brown squeaks by in a victory.  Provisional ballots are still being counted, so that may change.


The Democrats netted three seats, and the House sits at a 76-74 split.  

Here's a breakdown (courtesy of QR) of how it went:

Republican-to-Democrat:

 

-- HD 52 (Williamson County; open seat, Mike Krusee retired): Diana Maldonado defeats Bryan Daniel, 48.6 percent to 47.4 percent.

 

-- HD 78 (El Paso County; open seat, Pat Haggerty defeated in primary): Joe Moody defeats Dee Margo, 51.5 percent to 45.1 percent.

 

-- HD 96 (Tarrant County): Chris Turner defeats incumbent Bill Zedler, 51.3 percent to 46.6 percent.

-- HD 101 (Dallas County; open seat, Thomas Latham defeated in primary): Robert Miklos defeats Mike Anderson, 50.6 percent to 49.4 percent.

 

-- HD 102 (Dallas County): Carol Kent defeats incumbent Tony Goolsby, 53 percent to 47 percent.

 

-- HD 133 (Harris County): Kristi Thibaut defeats incumbent Jim Murphy, 50.6 percent to 49.4 percent.

 

Democrat-to-Republican:

 

-- HD 17 (Bastrop, Fayette, Lee, Colorado, Burleson, Brazos Counties; open seat, Robby Cook retired): Tim Kleinschmidt defeats Donnie Dippel, 54 percent to 42.9 percent.

 

-- HD 32 (Nueces, San Patricio, Aransas, Calhoun Counties): Todd Hunter defeats incumbent Juan Garcia, 50.1 percent to 46.8 percent.

 

-- HD 97 (Tarrant County): Mark Shelton defeats incumbent Dan Barrett, 55.4 percent to 42.7 percent.

 

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November 04, 2008

Red Shoes - GO PALIN!

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One hour, twenty minutes till polls close in Texas

Exit polls in Indiana, Ohio and Virginia are up - Allahpundit is doing coverage here if you're among those that just can't help peaking. Remember, though, that exit polls are not results. Don't have a Josh Lyman moment!!

Michael Steele is participating in the Fox News coverage and analysis.

Polls in Texas close in just over an hour. If you haven't voted, well, you better go now.

I'm heading out shortly to an election watch party with some politico friends in Cedar Park. We're going to be eating, drinking, and watching local results. If I have a chance, I'll be liveblogging or Twittering as results come in. Again, I recommend Burnt Orange Report's Texas elections Twitter feed (yes, liberal; but comprehensive): http://twitter.com/texaselections

Edited to add: Vandalized signs in Missouri City, Lone Star Times reports. Keep it classy, Obamatrons:




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Texas House: Will it flip?

Burnt Orange Report is, of course, predicting a 76-74 Democrat House in Texas after tonight.  Check it out here.


I think they're overly optimistic in HD 17 (Kleinschmidt/Dippel) and 149 (Meyers/Vo).  17 is an open seat (Robby Cook, D, is retiring), and 149 is Vo's current seat.  But Kleinschmidt took a significant chunk out of Cook two years ago, and has good name recognition in the district.  That's a tight race, but my educated guess is it goes to Kleinschmidt.  Vo, well, has had some issues, covered even in the misguided Houston Chronicle, with accusations of being a "slum lord."  Meyers has an uphill battle in a minority community, but I think there's a good shot that Talmadge Heflin's old House seat could be back in Republican hands.

Other than that, it's a tight, tight battle for most seats covered in that post.  Bryan Daniel is a much better bet for HD 52 - Maldonado is leaving a lot of questions unanswered about her ties outside the district, and her ties to TASB and Planned Parenthood do not represent her possible constituents.  Sam Murphey in HD 55 is a former Chet Edwards staffer (Edwards' camp has far-reaching tenticles - they're also running Chris Turner against Bill Zedler in HD 96) and has the advantage of Edwards' name and contacts in the district, but small businessman and community leader Ralph Sheffield is much more in line with retiring state rep. Dianne Delisi, who was the epitome of that district's careful conservatism.  

What will all this mean for the speakers' race?  If the House flips, along BOR's predictions or slightly different lines, it likely means Sylvester Turner as speaker.  If Republicans hold on to the House by the slimmest of margins, Craddick has a fight on his hands, and Jim Keffer's prediction that we're going to have a new Republican speaker becomes far more likely.  If we can hold on to the current Republican majority....well, it can still be a nasty session.

The interesting thing in the BOR post is the Congressional races.  They're predicting a squeaker for Cornyn, McCaul, Culberson, and even Olson.  Needless to say, over here at the Blue Dot household, we're hoping for this.

Five hours until the polls close.  Go vote!

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Voter intimidation by Black Panthers?

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Down-ballot candidates receiving pro-abortion money

Texas Right to Life emailed this handy list for anyone interested in who is receiving money from Planned Parenthood and other pro-abortion groups this election.  What is fascinating to me is the number of candidates receiving this money who are seeking offices that will never bring them in contact with abortion legislation or decisions.  The Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector need not concern him/herself with this issue.  So why give them money?  The answer is, they support an overall leftist agenda and have ambitions for higher office where they can be effective on this issue.


Targeting so many down-ballot offices in Harris County is also very telling.  Every politico in Texas knows the Democrats are hoping for a repeat of the 2006 Dallas County Slaughter in Harris County.  They've been prepping for it and this year they have the added benefit of a strong national candidate (last time, they simply had the malaise that had descended on Republican voters with regards to Rick Perry).  An extra financial boost from Planned Parenthood and similar organizations can't hurt in that case.

Not everyone on this list is a Democrat, which is also important to note.  Planned Parenthood can have only one goal in giving out money bipartisanly - to give the appearance of not supporting a leftist agenda.  Their mistake here is giving to token Republicans who aren't exactly heralded for their commitment to conservative issues (fiscally or otherwise).  It's easy to see right through Planned Parenthood's agenda and mission.

Notice:  HD 52 Democrat candidate Diana Maldonado is on this list, not that we should be surprised.

Received Money From Planned Parenthood in 2008

Mario Gallegos

State Senate District 6

$250.00

Wendy Davis

State Senate District 10

$5,000.00

Joe Jaworski

State Senate District 11

$4,000.00

Chris Bell

State Senate District 17

$1,000.00

Jeff Wentworth

State Senate District 25

$1,000.00

Leticia Van de Putte

State Senate District 26

$1,000.00

Juan Garcia

State House District 32

$3,000.00

Valinda Bolton

State House District 47

$1,000.00

Diana Maldonado

    State House District 52

$1,000.00

Joe Straus

State House District 121

$1,000.00

Mike Villarreal

State House District 123

$1,000.00

Joaquin Castro

State House District 125

$1,000.00

Sherri Matula

State House District 129

$1,000.00

Kristi Thibaut

State House District 133

$5,000.00

Virginia McDavid

State House District 138

$2,500.00

Ana Hernandez

State House District 143

$100.00

Carol Alvarado

State House District 145

$250.00

Garnet Coleman

State House District 147

$250.00

Jessica Farrar

State House District 148

$500.00

Hubert Vo

State House District 149

$2,000.00

David Mincberg

Harris County Judge

$2,000.00

Diane Trautman

Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector

$600.00

Adrian Garcia

Harris County Sheriff

$500.00

Vince Ryan

Harris County Attorney

$500.00

Received Money From Other Pro-Abortion Groups in 2008

Wendy Davis

State Senate District 10

$100,000.00

Veronica Gonzales

State House District 41

$20,000.00

Valinda Bolton

State House District 47

$40,200.00

Donna Howard

State House District 48

$15,000.00

Diana Maldonado

State House District 52

$50,100.00

Paula Pierson

State House District 93

$27,670.00

Carol Kent

State House District 102

$20,000.00

Sherrie Matula

State House District 129

$20,000.00

Kristi Thibaut

State House District 133

$30,000.00

Carol Alvarado

State House District 145

$2,500.00

Diane Trautman

Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector

$45,000.00

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November 03, 2008

Words of advice from a campaign veteran

I will be out at the polls for awhile tomorrow.  Hopefully I will have a chance to liveblog (or Tweet:  http://twitter.com/mjsamuelson) as results come in, but if not, count on a post mortem on Wednesday.

Words of advice from a campaign veteran:

1 - Don't pay attention to the exit polls.  They're skewed from reality.  In 2004, exit polls had Kerry leading by 5.5%.  Remember:  "what are they lying" about is the real question that gets raised in exit polling.

2 - If you go to one of the big victory or watch parties, save the drinking for later when you're at home. 

3 - For comprehensive coverage of down ballot races, Burnt Orange Report (yes, I know they're liberal) is doing a Twitter feed you can check out here:  http://twitter.com/texaselections.

4 - But you can also just watch the Secretary of State's website, which will refresh automatically as returns come in:  http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/

5 - Take down your yard signs and put them up at the polling place instead - they'll do more good there on Election Day.

6 - If you're anxious and campaigning at the last moment isn't your thing, get your hair cut, your nails done, your oil changed - do something that is utterly unrelated to campaigning or elections. I'm splitting my time tomorrow between errands and election day campaigning.  If I just blew off the polls, I'd feel guilty, and if I just campaigned, I'd be emotionally drained by 10am.  Balance is key in all things!
 
7 - Let go, let God.  No matter the outcome, it's part of His plan, and He has it under control.

In the meantime, in non-election news, check out this effort to ban Latin phrases from general usage.  Utterly ridiculous.  Res ipsa loquitur.

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November 01, 2008

Another sign of things to come?

Obama supporters start tattooing numbers on their arms.


Yeah, I couldn't believe it either.  And yet.

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